} The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. The link below will take you to maps of polling places and precincts for each of suburban Cook County's thirty townships. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. Get real-time alerts and advocate for regulatory issues that may affect your bottom line. ( display: inline-block; [no_found_rows] => } The residents of the 8th district are currently represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014. @media screen and (max-width: 350px) { The Cook Partisan Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the score for the new district is D+1. [12], 1992 Apply today! [meta_id_column] => But for places that have seen rapid shifts towards one party or the other in the last six years such as in South Florida or suburbs of Dallas the new formula "leans in" to the transformation underway. padding-bottom: 5px; [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. ) ) .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { border-bottom: 1px solid #aaa; The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. ( width: 100% if (document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.contains('leg-hnt-hide')) { Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. .leg-hnt-district-container { "[6], Cook produces an updated PVI for all 50 states and each of the 435 congressional districts following each presidential election and redistricting cycle. 7, 2022, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, Slate, Feb. 25, 2022, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, Slate, Jan. 4, 2022, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America, N.Y. Times, Jan. 7, 2022, Nonprofit Law as a Tool to Kill What Remains of Campaign Finance Law: Reluctant Lessons from Ellen Aprill, 46Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review (forthcoming 2023) (festschrift symposium honoring Ellen Aprill), draft available, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, Election Reform: Past, Present, and Future in Oxford Handbook of American Election Law (Eugene Mazo, ed., forthcoming 2023), draft available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, 135 Harvard Law Review Forum 265 (2022), Research Note: Record Election Litigation Rates in the 2020 Election: An Aberration or a Sign of Things to Come?, Election Law Journal, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050 (2022), Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, 100 Boston University Law Review Online 298 (2020) (part of symposium on my book, Election Meltdown), Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them,Election Law Journal (2020), The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix Itby Heather K. Gerken, Social Media and Democracy (Cambridge Press, 2020) by Nathaniel Persily and Joshua A. Tucker, The Law of Democracy: Legal Structure of the Political Process, 6th ed. background-color: #003388; Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. justify-content: center; That partially reverses a rare spike in competitive seats from the 2020 election. [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. Connecticut's 2nd District also had a D+3 rating. padding: 0.5em; How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America,, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050, Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. [preview] => text-align: center; column-gap: 1em; These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning. .leg-hnt-leadership > div { .race_header.democratic { .infobox caption { .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { padding-bottom: 5px; According to Cook, the PVI "is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years. To calculate new 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 newly drawn districts, we've used 2016 and 2020 election results by district publicly available via Dave's Redistricting App, a free online mapping tool originally developed by Dave Bradlee that allows any user to draw and evaluate district boundaries. ( With a Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) rating of D+3, it is one of Connecticut's least Democratic districts. } display: flex; Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+22. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { [5], 2006 font-size: 12px; [query] => Array margin-top: 5px; width: 50%; This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. } On November 7, 2006, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. 61, Anita S. Krishnakumar, Cracking the Whole Code Rule (February 19, 2020). .leg-hnt-leadership-title { border-top: 1px solid #aaa; Track legislation, regulations, and conversation on Capitol Hill. [update_post_term_cache] => 1 position: relative; display: flex; color: #888; Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. But Hes Still a Danger, Washington Post, Mar. Follow the news on key issue areas. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018. break-inside: avoid-column; [post__not_in] => Array margin-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0; width: 150px; The One Group That Can Stop Elon Musk from Unbanning Trump on Twitter, Facebook and Twitter Could Let Trump Back Online. } width: 100%; This district's elasticity score was 1.07. [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. table-layout: fixed; [18][19][20], Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. The median House seat is Flint, Michigan's 8th CD, where Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee is seeking reelection, with a PVI score of R+1. Acquire, educate, and activate supporters to reach your goals. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. overflow-x: scroll; ( font-size: 16px; In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. font-weight: 300; The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. } She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[17], The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit. (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. } margin-bottom: 4px; float: left; [p] => 0 margin-bottom:16px; Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. .leg-infobox-block { margin-top: 16px; } [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. .results_table_container { Rick Perry (R) in June 2013. color: #fff; The top five finishers, not just one Republican and one Democrat, qualify for the general election. vertical-align: middle; On November 5, 1996, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. font-weight: bold; [post_date_gmt] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 NO. } max-height: 580px; Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. padding-left: 10px; display: flex; top: 0px; .leg-infobox-state-flag { The Cook Political Report introduced the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts.. Here's how it works: "A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the . [relation] => ( color:white; ) Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. .inner_percentage.Democratic { } padding-left: 16px; padding-left: 2px; overflow-y: hidden; flex-direction: column; 1793 (2020), Nicholas Stephanopoulos, The Sweep of the Electoral Power (October 20, 2020). The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. .leg-hnt-leadership { text-align: right; [paged] => 0 .leg-infobox-party-dot-image { With a Cook Partisan Voting Indexof D+21, it is the most Democratic district in Virginia, and one of the most Democratic white-majority districts in the South. .votebox-scroll-container { [author] => The app uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting Election & Science Team (VEST), a consortium of academic researchers. Visualize, understand, and report on all of your public affairs work in real-time. [post_parent__in] => Array The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. .election_results_text { She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. text-align: left !important; [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. max-width: 75px; [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. } Raise more funds and disburse more strategically with the PAC solution used by more organizations to file with the FEC than any other software. text-align: center; and Academic Affairs and margin-top: 1em; ( [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. } The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. Si contina navegando, consideramos que acepta su uso. The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). [post_content] =>. [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. ( ( .leg-hnt-toggle-text { position: absolute; text-align: left !important; [update_menu_item_cache] => ( color: #6db24f; display: none; Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc.. [table_aliases:protected] => Array .results_row.winner { } .leg-hnt-hide { ) font-weight: 500; background-color: #334aab; font-size: 0.9em; display: table; On November 2, 2004, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. .leg-hnt-responsive-columns { Source. 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